Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a moderate posting pace on X under @NYCMayor, with trader consensus centering on 20-39 posts for the August 11-18 window at 73.5% implied probability. Recent activity includes multiple statements on community events, a synagogue assault in Manhattan prompting rapid updates on the investigation and safety measures, and policy announcements such as free Broadway tickets for students and child care subsidies. These developments align with standard weekly output driven by routine city business rather than sustained high-volume crises or campaigns. Historical patterns for the account and comparable officials support the 40-59 bracket as a secondary possibility at 26.5%, while outcomes above 60 remain minimal given the absence of extraordinary triggers like major emergencies or coordinated campaigns during the resolution period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNYC Mayor # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
20-39 74%
40-59 27%
60-79 <1%
80-99 <1%
$31,405 Vol.
$31,405 Vol.
20-39
74%
40-59
27%
60-79
1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
20-39 74%
40-59 27%
60-79 <1%
80-99 <1%
$31,405 Vol.
$31,405 Vol.
20-39
74%
40-59
27%
60-79
1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor on January 1, 2026, maintains a moderate posting pace on X under @NYCMayor, with trader consensus centering on 20-39 posts for the August 11-18 window at 73.5% implied probability. Recent activity includes multiple statements on community events, a synagogue assault in Manhattan prompting rapid updates on the investigation and safety measures, and policy announcements such as free Broadway tickets for students and child care subsidies. These developments align with standard weekly output driven by routine city business rather than sustained high-volume crises or campaigns. Historical patterns for the account and comparable officials support the 40-59 bracket as a secondary possibility at 26.5%, while outcomes above 60 remain minimal given the absence of extraordinary triggers like major emergencies or coordinated campaigns during the resolution period.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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