**Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a minimum temperature near 11–12°C overnight into September 10, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around 10–11°C.** Light southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a modest high-pressure influence are expected to keep the overnight low from dropping sharply, though model solutions diverge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could allow brief radiational cooling to 9–10°C or hold readings closer to 13°C. Historical September averages near 11.3°C provide context, while recent cooler-than-normal conditions across northwest Europe have elevated trader attention to downside scenarios. Updated model guidance and KNMI observations through the evening will refine the resolution range before the daily minimum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?
6°C or below 89%
11°C 25%
10°C 22%
9°C 22%
6°C or below
89%
7°C
10%
8°C
10%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
25%
12°C
20%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
14%
16°C or higher
12%
6°C or below 89%
11°C 25%
10°C 22%
9°C 22%
6°C or below
89%
7°C
10%
8°C
10%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
25%
12°C
20%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
14%
16°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a minimum temperature near 11–12°C overnight into September 10, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around 10–11°C.** Light southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under a modest high-pressure influence are expected to keep the overnight low from dropping sharply, though model solutions diverge on exact boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that could allow brief radiational cooling to 9–10°C or hold readings closer to 13°C. Historical September averages near 11.3°C provide context, while recent cooler-than-normal conditions across northwest Europe have elevated trader attention to downside scenarios. Updated model guidance and KNMI observations through the evening will refine the resolution range before the daily minimum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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