Recent forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international agencies highlight southeasterly winds and persistent cloud cover as key factors limiting overnight radiative cooling in Cape Town, yet trader consensus assigns a 50% implied probability to a minimum of 12°C or below on September 12. This positioning reflects model runs showing potential for localized cooling amid variable humidity and pressure patterns typical of early spring in the region, where historical September lows average near 10–11°C. Recent observational data indicate current overnight readings holding around 15–16°C with overcast conditions, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds as new model updates and real-time monitoring refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 12?
12°C or below 84%
16°C 43%
17°C 41%
15°C 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
84%
13°C
10%
14°C
21%
15°C
29%
16°C
43%
17°C
41%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 84%
16°C 43%
17°C 41%
15°C 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
84%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C
$0 Vol.
43%
17°C
$0 Vol.
41%
18°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international agencies highlight southeasterly winds and persistent cloud cover as key factors limiting overnight radiative cooling in Cape Town, yet trader consensus assigns a 50% implied probability to a minimum of 12°C or below on September 12. This positioning reflects model runs showing potential for localized cooling amid variable humidity and pressure patterns typical of early spring in the region, where historical September lows average near 10–11°C. Recent observational data indicate current overnight readings holding around 15–16°C with overcast conditions, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds as new model updates and real-time monitoring refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$254Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international agencies highlight southeasterly winds and persistent cloud cover as key factors limiting overnight radiative cooling in Cape Town, yet trader consensus assigns a 50% implied probability to a minimum of 12°C or below on September 12. This positioning reflects model runs showing potential for localized cooling amid variable humidity and pressure patterns typical of early spring in the region, where historical September lows average near 10–11°C. Recent observational data indicate current overnight readings holding around 15–16°C with overcast conditions, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds as new model updates and real-time monitoring refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$254Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the South African Weather Service and international agencies highlight southeasterly winds and persistent cloud cover as key factors limiting overnight radiative cooling in Cape Town, yet trader consensus assigns a 50% implied probability to a minimum of 12°C or below on September 12. This positioning reflects model runs showing potential for localized cooling amid variable humidity and pressure patterns typical of early spring in the region, where historical September lows average near 10–11°C. Recent observational data indicate current overnight readings holding around 15–16°C with overcast conditions, creating genuine uncertainty around exact thresholds as new model updates and real-time monitoring refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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