**An approaching cold front and associated low-pressure system are the main drivers behind the closely matched market-implied odds for Cape Town’s September 13 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources like the South African Weather Service indicate a shift to cooler, wetter, and windier conditions starting Sunday, with scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to increase cloud cover and reduce overnight radiative cooling. This creates uncertainty around the exact low, as stronger winds and precipitation can limit temperature drops while variable steering patterns influence timing. Model consensus points to overnight minima near 14–16°C, above the September climatological average of about 10°C, yet the spread in outcomes from 11°C or below to 21°C or higher reflects sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind strength ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 13?
11°C or below 57%
21°C or higher 57%
19°C 37%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
57%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
8%
19°C
37%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
57%
11°C or below 57%
21°C or higher 57%
19°C 37%
15°C 27%
11°C or below
57%
12°C
22%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
22%
18°C
8%
19°C
37%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**An approaching cold front and associated low-pressure system are the main drivers behind the closely matched market-implied odds for Cape Town’s September 13 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources like the South African Weather Service indicate a shift to cooler, wetter, and windier conditions starting Sunday, with scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to increase cloud cover and reduce overnight radiative cooling. This creates uncertainty around the exact low, as stronger winds and precipitation can limit temperature drops while variable steering patterns influence timing. Model consensus points to overnight minima near 14–16°C, above the September climatological average of about 10°C, yet the spread in outcomes from 11°C or below to 21°C or higher reflects sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind strength ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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