Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 will reach 26°C, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when average lows hover near 25°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects real-time data integration from surface observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or steering patterns introducing slightly cooler maritime air, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to deviations below 25°C or above 27°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,907 Vol.
$4,907 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,907 Vol.
$4,907 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$683 Vol.
No
22°C
$300 Vol.
No
23°C
$51 Vol.
No
24°C
$167 Vol.
No
25°C
$376 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,734 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$173 Vol.
No
28°C
$176 Vol.
No
29°C
$175 Vol.
No
30°C
$110 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$963 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 will reach 26°C, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when average lows hover near 25°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects real-time data integration from surface observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or steering patterns introducing slightly cooler maritime air, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to deviations below 25°C or above 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$4,907Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 will reach 26°C, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when average lows hover near 25°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects real-time data integration from surface observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or steering patterns introducing slightly cooler maritime air, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to deviations below 25°C or above 27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,907Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Current forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate the overnight minimum temperature in Guangzhou on August 26 will reach 26°C, supported by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when average lows hover near 25°C but recent conditions have trended warmer. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C reflects real-time data integration from surface observations and ensemble runs showing limited variability. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected clearing skies enhancing nocturnal cooling or steering patterns introducing slightly cooler maritime air, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to deviations below 25°C or above 27°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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