**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$38,417 Vol.
$38,417 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$38,417 Vol.
$38,417 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$1,045 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,050 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,591 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,713 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,928 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$5,804 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,915 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,103 Vol.
No
29°C
$86 Vol.
No
30°C
$96 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$86 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$38,417Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold.
Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,417Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Northeast monsoon flow has driven trader consensus toward a 25°C minimum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026.** The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast projected a daily range of 25–31°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to mostly fine conditions, with radiative cooling favored by north to northeast winds of 4–5 m/s and relative humidity dropping below 60% during the day. This aligns with climatological September norms near 25°C for overnight lows at the Observatory site, where drier air and clearer periods enhance heat loss after daytime maxima around 31–32°C. Market-implied odds reached 100% on 25°C once post-event data confirmed the Absolute Daily Min matched this threshold. Realistic challenges include unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind that limit cooling, or revisions in finalized HKO observations, though such shifts are uncommon once provisional readings align with the forecast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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