Recent weather model consensus from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international forecasts points to a minimum temperature near 26–28°C for Lucknow on September 18, driven by lingering southwest monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent dew points in the mid-20s°C and 40–50% thunderstorm chances further suppress temperature drops compared to drier conditions. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes because minor shifts in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or steering patterns could push the overnight low either way, while specific bins around 22–30°C reflect model spread. The next IMD update and refined GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify steering winds and moisture advection.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
21°C or below
100%
22°C
32%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C
40%
26°C
23%
27°C
35%
28°C
32%
29°C
32%
30°C
32%
31°C or higher
98%
21°C or below 100%
31°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
21°C or below
100%
22°C
32%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C
40%
26°C
23%
27°C
35%
28°C
32%
29°C
32%
30°C
32%
31°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international forecasts points to a minimum temperature near 26–28°C for Lucknow on September 18, driven by lingering southwest monsoon moisture, high humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Persistent dew points in the mid-20s°C and 40–50% thunderstorm chances further suppress temperature drops compared to drier conditions. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes because minor shifts in cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or steering patterns could push the overnight low either way, while specific bins around 22–30°C reflect model spread. The next IMD update and refined GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify steering winds and moisture advection.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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