**Persistent southwest monsoon activity and elevated humidity are the dominant near-term influences on Manila's overnight minimum temperature for September 10.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum readings clustered near 24–26 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 23 °C. While an active El Niño background and possible low-pressure development west of Luzon introduce some variability in rainfall timing, current model consensus shows only modest day-to-day shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. These factors explain why the market-implied probabilities remain closely bunched between the 20–26 °C outcomes rather than concentrating on a single threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 10?
20°C or below 83%
28°C 34%
29°C 34%
24°C 28%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
83%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
24%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
19%
27°C
20%
28°C
34%
29°C
34%
30°C or higher
12%
20°C or below 83%
28°C 34%
29°C 34%
24°C 28%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
$25 Vol.
83%
21°C
$87 Vol.
4%
22°C
$30 Vol.
11%
23°C
$20 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
28%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$25 Vol.
34%
29°C
$50 Vol.
34%
30°C or higher
$25 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity and elevated humidity are the dominant near-term influences on Manila's overnight minimum temperature for September 10.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum readings clustered near 24–26 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 23 °C. While an active El Niño background and possible low-pressure development west of Luzon introduce some variability in rainfall timing, current model consensus shows only modest day-to-day shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. These factors explain why the market-implied probabilities remain closely bunched between the 20–26 °C outcomes rather than concentrating on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$262Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southwest monsoon activity and elevated humidity are the dominant near-term influences on Manila's overnight minimum temperature for September 10.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum readings clustered near 24–26 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 23 °C. While an active El Niño background and possible low-pressure development west of Luzon introduce some variability in rainfall timing, current model consensus shows only modest day-to-day shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. These factors explain why the market-implied probabilities remain closely bunched between the 20–26 °C outcomes rather than concentrating on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$262Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon activity and elevated humidity are the dominant near-term influences on Manila's overnight minimum temperature for September 10.** Official PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support minimum readings clustered near 24–26 °C. High dew points near 24 °C further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 23 °C. While an active El Niño background and possible low-pressure development west of Luzon introduce some variability in rainfall timing, current model consensus shows only modest day-to-day shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. These factors explain why the market-implied probabilities remain closely bunched between the 20–26 °C outcomes rather than concentrating on a single threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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