The approaching Atlantic frontal system, bringing widespread rain and a sharp temperature drop across northern Italy, stands as the dominant driver of current trader positioning for Milan's September 10 overnight low. Ensemble guidance and regional models from sources such as ECMWF and national meteorological services point to persistent cloud cover and precipitation through the night, limiting radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 17–19 °C. This aligns with the elevated market-implied odds on the 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes, while the sizable probability attached to 22 °C or higher likely reflects earlier, warmer baseline expectations before the front's arrival. Key variables that could shift the final recorded low include the exact timing of heaviest rain and any localized clearing that permits brief additional cooling; updated model runs and official Italian forecasts released overnight will provide the next high-impact data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
22°C or higher 69%
12°C or below 57%
17°C 26%
16°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
57%
13°C
22%
14°C
20%
15°C
24%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
21%
19°C
20%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
69%
22°C or higher 69%
12°C or below 57%
17°C 26%
16°C 26%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
$75 Vol.
57%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$169 Vol.
5%
21°C
$25 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$75 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching Atlantic frontal system, bringing widespread rain and a sharp temperature drop across northern Italy, stands as the dominant driver of current trader positioning for Milan's September 10 overnight low. Ensemble guidance and regional models from sources such as ECMWF and national meteorological services point to persistent cloud cover and precipitation through the night, limiting radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 17–19 °C. This aligns with the elevated market-implied odds on the 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes, while the sizable probability attached to 22 °C or higher likely reflects earlier, warmer baseline expectations before the front's arrival. Key variables that could shift the final recorded low include the exact timing of heaviest rain and any localized clearing that permits brief additional cooling; updated model runs and official Italian forecasts released overnight will provide the next high-impact data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$344Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The approaching Atlantic frontal system, bringing widespread rain and a sharp temperature drop across northern Italy, stands as the dominant driver of current trader positioning for Milan's September 10 overnight low. Ensemble guidance and regional models from sources such as ECMWF and national meteorological services point to persistent cloud cover and precipitation through the night, limiting radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 17–19 °C. This aligns with the elevated market-implied odds on the 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes, while the sizable probability attached to 22 °C or higher likely reflects earlier, warmer baseline expectations before the front's arrival. Key variables that could shift the final recorded low include the exact timing of heaviest rain and any localized clearing that permits brief additional cooling; updated model runs and official Italian forecasts released overnight will provide the next high-impact data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$344Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The approaching Atlantic frontal system, bringing widespread rain and a sharp temperature drop across northern Italy, stands as the dominant driver of current trader positioning for Milan's September 10 overnight low. Ensemble guidance and regional models from sources such as ECMWF and national meteorological services point to persistent cloud cover and precipitation through the night, limiting radiative cooling and anchoring minimum temperatures near 17–19 °C. This aligns with the elevated market-implied odds on the 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes, while the sizable probability attached to 22 °C or higher likely reflects earlier, warmer baseline expectations before the front's arrival. Key variables that could shift the final recorded low include the exact timing of heaviest rain and any localized clearing that permits brief additional cooling; updated model runs and official Italian forecasts released overnight will provide the next high-impact data points for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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