Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an incoming perturbation bringing thunderstorms and a shift toward cooler, more humid conditions over Milan on September 9, with expected overnight lows clustered around 17–19 °C. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (33.5 %) and 19 °C (30.5 %), ahead of 17 °C (26.5 %). Primary drivers include the timing and intensity of rain-cooled air masses, variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, and light northerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in guidance reflect uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, as thicker nocturnal cloud decks or earlier clearing could shift the low by 1–2 °C through differences in heat retention and dew-point depression. Updated model runs and local observations near resolution will refine these distinctions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Milan on September 9?
18°C 34%
19°C 31%
17°C 26%
15°C 25%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
26%
18°C
34%
19°C
31%
20°C
18%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
9%
18°C 34%
19°C 31%
17°C 26%
15°C 25%
14°C or below
3%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
26%
18°C
34%
19°C
31%
20°C
18%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an incoming perturbation bringing thunderstorms and a shift toward cooler, more humid conditions over Milan on September 9, with expected overnight lows clustered around 17–19 °C. This aligns closely with market-implied odds favoring 18 °C (33.5 %) and 19 °C (30.5 %), ahead of 17 °C (26.5 %). Primary drivers include the timing and intensity of rain-cooled air masses, variable cloud cover that modulates longwave radiative cooling, and light northerly winds that limit boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in guidance reflect uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, as thicker nocturnal cloud decks or earlier clearing could shift the low by 1–2 °C through differences in heat retention and dew-point depression. Updated model runs and local observations near resolution will refine these distinctions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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