**Current forecasts for Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 10 center on 10–12°C, with model ensembles showing notable spread that explains the closely matched market probabilities (9°C or below at 32%, 12°C at 28%, 11°C at 26%, 10°C at 23.5%).** A passing frontal system and associated rain on the 9th–10th are drawing cooler northwesterly flow across the region, replacing recent above-average warmth. Clearing skies late on the 10th will allow radiative cooling under light winds, but the exact timing of cloud dissipation, wind speeds (currently modeled 5–15 km/h), and boundary-layer moisture create divergence among runs. This produces a plausible minimum range of roughly 9–13°C. Historical September norms near 10°C provide context, yet the active pattern adds short-term uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will be the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
9°C or below 31%
12°C 28%
11°C 27%
13°C 26%
9°C or below
31%
10°C
24%
11°C
27%
12°C
28%
13°C
22%
14°C
11%
15°C
10%
16°C
8%
17°C
11%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
8%
9°C or below 31%
12°C 28%
11°C 27%
13°C 26%
9°C or below
31%
10°C
24%
11°C
27%
12°C
28%
13°C
22%
14°C
11%
15°C
10%
16°C
8%
17°C
11%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 10 center on 10–12°C, with model ensembles showing notable spread that explains the closely matched market probabilities (9°C or below at 32%, 12°C at 28%, 11°C at 26%, 10°C at 23.5%).** A passing frontal system and associated rain on the 9th–10th are drawing cooler northwesterly flow across the region, replacing recent above-average warmth. Clearing skies late on the 10th will allow radiative cooling under light winds, but the exact timing of cloud dissipation, wind speeds (currently modeled 5–15 km/h), and boundary-layer moisture create divergence among runs. This produces a plausible minimum range of roughly 9–13°C. Historical September norms near 10°C provide context, yet the active pattern adds short-term uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will be the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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