Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and regional meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C overnight into September 16 in Milan, driven by light easterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and dew points around 15–17°C that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, following a warm daytime high near 26–27°C, support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18°C while assigning meaningful probability to 13°C or below if clearer skies allow greater heat loss. Thunderstorm chances later in the day introduce minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, though official minimum readings from central stations will determine resolution. Historical September lows average near 16°C, providing context for the current mild pattern.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Milan on September 16?
13°C or below 53%
23°C or higher 53%
14°C 39%
19°C 39%
13°C or below
53%
14°C
39%
15°C
14%
16°C
24%
17°C
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
53%
13°C or below 53%
23°C or higher 53%
14°C 39%
19°C 39%
13°C or below
53%
14°C
39%
15°C
14%
16°C
24%
17°C
30%
18°C
30%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like ECMWF and regional meteorological services indicate a minimum temperature near 18–19°C overnight into September 16 in Milan, driven by light easterly winds, increasing cloud cover, and dew points around 15–17°C that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, following a warm daytime high near 26–27°C, support the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–18°C while assigning meaningful probability to 13°C or below if clearer skies allow greater heat loss. Thunderstorm chances later in the day introduce minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, though official minimum readings from central stations will determine resolution. Historical September lows average near 16°C, providing context for the current mild pattern.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong