The closely matched market-implied odds, with 23°C or higher leading at 31.5% and cooler bins like 18°C and 13°C or below near 29% and 28.5%, signal substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Milan's overnight low. Ensemble models from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA show spread in 500 hPa heights and low-level advection over the Po Valley, where September climatology features transitional Mediterranean influences with sea surface temperatures near 24–26°C moderating extremes. Key variables include the timing and strength of any approaching Atlantic trough versus persistent high pressure, which could determine whether radiative cooling under clear skies drops temperatures toward 15°C or warmer southerly flow holds minima above 20°C. Updated model runs and local observations will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Milan on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 15?
13°C or below 62%
23°C or higher 62%
22°C 39%
18°C 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
13°C or below
62%
14°C
18%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
23%
18°C
29%
19°C
28%
20°C
23%
21°C
21%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
62%
13°C or below 62%
23°C or higher 62%
22°C 39%
18°C 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
62%
14°C
$10 Vol.
18%
15°C
$8 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$10 Vol.
39%
23°C or higher
$10 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds, with 23°C or higher leading at 31.5% and cooler bins like 18°C and 13°C or below near 29% and 28.5%, signal substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Milan's overnight low. Ensemble models from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA show spread in 500 hPa heights and low-level advection over the Po Valley, where September climatology features transitional Mediterranean influences with sea surface temperatures near 24–26°C moderating extremes. Key variables include the timing and strength of any approaching Atlantic trough versus persistent high pressure, which could determine whether radiative cooling under clear skies drops temperatures toward 15°C or warmer southerly flow holds minima above 20°C. Updated model runs and local observations will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$48Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds, with 23°C or higher leading at 31.5% and cooler bins like 18°C and 13°C or below near 29% and 28.5%, signal substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Milan's overnight low. Ensemble models from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA show spread in 500 hPa heights and low-level advection over the Po Valley, where September climatology features transitional Mediterranean influences with sea surface temperatures near 24–26°C moderating extremes. Key variables include the timing and strength of any approaching Atlantic trough versus persistent high pressure, which could determine whether radiative cooling under clear skies drops temperatures toward 15°C or warmer southerly flow holds minima above 20°C. Updated model runs and local observations will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds, with 23°C or higher leading at 31.5% and cooler bins like 18°C and 13°C or below near 29% and 28.5%, signal substantial short-term forecast uncertainty for Milan's overnight low. Ensemble models from agencies like ECMWF and NOAA show spread in 500 hPa heights and low-level advection over the Po Valley, where September climatology features transitional Mediterranean influences with sea surface temperatures near 24–26°C moderating extremes. Key variables include the timing and strength of any approaching Atlantic trough versus persistent high pressure, which could determine whether radiative cooling under clear skies drops temperatures toward 15°C or warmer southerly flow holds minima above 20°C. Updated model runs and local observations will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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