**Latest short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Munich on September 19 around 10–12°C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light westerly winds.** This aligns with the historical average low of 9.7°C for the date and reflects a continuation of mild late-summer conditions after an unusually warm early September. High-pressure dominance and a stable air mass limit both strong cold advection and extreme radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 6°C threshold while comfortably below 16°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation chances and modest diurnal ranges, with urban heat-island effects in central Munich further moderating the lowest readings compared with rural sites. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for the extremes (47.5% for 16°C+, 40.5% for 6°C or below) appear to embed residual uncertainty around exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, even as the central tendency clusters near 10–12°C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF on the evening of September 18 will likely tighten the distribution around the most probable overnight minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Munich on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 19?
16°C or higher 84%
6°C or below 79%
11°C 36%
12°C 36%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 19, 2026
6°C or below
79%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
22%
10°C
19%
11°C
36%
12°C
36%
13°C
36%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C or higher
84%
16°C or higher 84%
6°C or below 79%
11°C 36%
12°C 36%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 19, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
79%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
24%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
36%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
36%
14°C
$0 Vol.
13%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Munich on September 19 around 10–12°C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light westerly winds.** This aligns with the historical average low of 9.7°C for the date and reflects a continuation of mild late-summer conditions after an unusually warm early September.
High-pressure dominance and a stable air mass limit both strong cold advection and extreme radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 6°C threshold while comfortably below 16°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation chances and modest diurnal ranges, with urban heat-island effects in central Munich further moderating the lowest readings compared with rural sites.
The closely matched market-implied probabilities for the extremes (47.5% for 16°C+, 40.5% for 6°C or below) appear to embed residual uncertainty around exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, even as the central tendency clusters near 10–12°C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF on the evening of September 18 will likely tighten the distribution around the most probable overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Munich on September 19 around 10–12°C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light westerly winds.** This aligns with the historical average low of 9.7°C for the date and reflects a continuation of mild late-summer conditions after an unusually warm early September.
High-pressure dominance and a stable air mass limit both strong cold advection and extreme radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 6°C threshold while comfortably below 16°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation chances and modest diurnal ranges, with urban heat-island effects in central Munich further moderating the lowest readings compared with rural sites.
The closely matched market-implied probabilities for the extremes (47.5% for 16°C+, 40.5% for 6°C or below) appear to embed residual uncertainty around exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, even as the central tendency clusters near 10–12°C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF on the evening of September 18 will likely tighten the distribution around the most probable overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest short-range forecast models indicate overnight lows in Munich on September 19 around 10–12°C under partly cloudy to clear skies and light westerly winds.** This aligns with the historical average low of 9.7°C for the date and reflects a continuation of mild late-summer conditions after an unusually warm early September. High-pressure dominance and a stable air mass limit both strong cold advection and extreme radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures well above the 6°C threshold while comfortably below 16°C. Model consensus shows low precipitation chances and modest diurnal ranges, with urban heat-island effects in central Munich further moderating the lowest readings compared with rural sites. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for the extremes (47.5% for 16°C+, 40.5% for 6°C or below) appear to embed residual uncertainty around exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing in the final model runs, even as the central tendency clusters near 10–12°C. Updated guidance from agencies such as the German Weather Service (DWD) or ECMWF on the evening of September 18 will likely tighten the distribution around the most probable overnight minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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