Recent ensemble forecasts from European models point to overnight lows of 17–19°C in Paris on August 26 amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth, with the spread of market-implied probabilities reflecting model divergence on exact minimum timing and urban-station readings. Key variables include the strength of any overnight southerly flow, boundary-layer moisture from Atlantic disturbances, and the precise location of the official measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current guidance favors values slightly above that baseline with high uncertainty persisting until final model runs on the 25th.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
18°C 32%
17°C 21%
19°C 21%
20°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
21%
20°C
13%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
2%
18°C 32%
17°C 21%
19°C 21%
20°C 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$165 Vol.
4%
15°C
$143 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
12%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$686 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$81 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5 Vol.
7%
24°C or higher
$45 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models point to overnight lows of 17–19°C in Paris on August 26 amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth, with the spread of market-implied probabilities reflecting model divergence on exact minimum timing and urban-station readings. Key variables include the strength of any overnight southerly flow, boundary-layer moisture from Atlantic disturbances, and the precise location of the official measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current guidance favors values slightly above that baseline with high uncertainty persisting until final model runs on the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,125Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models point to overnight lows of 17–19°C in Paris on August 26 amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth, with the spread of market-implied probabilities reflecting model divergence on exact minimum timing and urban-station readings. Key variables include the strength of any overnight southerly flow, boundary-layer moisture from Atlantic disturbances, and the precise location of the official measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current guidance favors values slightly above that baseline with high uncertainty persisting until final model runs on the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,125Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models point to overnight lows of 17–19°C in Paris on August 26 amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth, with the spread of market-implied probabilities reflecting model divergence on exact minimum timing and urban-station readings. Key variables include the strength of any overnight southerly flow, boundary-layer moisture from Atlantic disturbances, and the precise location of the official measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, but current guidance favors values slightly above that baseline with high uncertainty persisting until final model runs on the 25th.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong