Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C in Tokyo on June 14, driven by typical early-summer conditions with daytime highs around 28°C, clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and limited radiational cooling under the expanding Pacific High. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-June lows of 19–21°C, though model consensus favors the upper end of that range due to elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover expected that night. Traders assign over 89% implied probability to 21°C because recent model runs show little deviation, with only modest downside risk from localized cooling or brief showers. Upcoming official observations from JMA will resolve the market, and any late adjustments in steering patterns or moisture could shift outcomes slightly lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
21°C 93%
19°C 4.3%
20°C 4%
18°C <1%
$15,438 Vol.
$15,438 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
93%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 93%
19°C 4.3%
20°C 4%
18°C <1%
$15,438 Vol.
$15,438 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
93%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and AccuWeather indicate a minimum temperature near 21°C in Tokyo on June 14, driven by typical early-summer conditions with daytime highs around 28°C, clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and limited radiational cooling under the expanding Pacific High. This aligns with climatological averages for mid-June lows of 19–21°C, though model consensus favors the upper end of that range due to elevated humidity and minimal cloud cover expected that night. Traders assign over 89% implied probability to 21°C because recent model runs show little deviation, with only modest downside risk from localized cooling or brief showers. Upcoming official observations from JMA will resolve the market, and any late adjustments in steering patterns or moisture could shift outcomes slightly lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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