Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance positions Tokyo’s official minimum temperature at 18 °C on May 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that sustains southerly warm advection and suppresses nocturnal cooling across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have remained locked within a narrow 1 °C envelope, producing the market’s 99.8 % implied probability for the 18 °C bin. This consensus reflects high short-range predictability under stable synoptic conditions typical of mid-May climatology. The outcome could shift only if a late forecast adjustment or localized sensor variation at the Tokyo Haneda Airport station alters the recorded value outside the 18 °C threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
18°C 99.6%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,788 Vol.
$15,788 Vol.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,788 Vol.
$15,788 Vol.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$1,131 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$823 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,264 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,487 Vol.
100%
19°C
$1,778 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,776 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$564 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$688 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$396 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance positions Tokyo’s official minimum temperature at 18 °C on May 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that sustains southerly warm advection and suppresses nocturnal cooling across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have remained locked within a narrow 1 °C envelope, producing the market’s 99.8 % implied probability for the 18 °C bin. This consensus reflects high short-range predictability under stable synoptic conditions typical of mid-May climatology. The outcome could shift only if a late forecast adjustment or localized sensor variation at the Tokyo Haneda Airport station alters the recorded value outside the 18 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$15,788Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance positions Tokyo’s official minimum temperature at 18 °C on May 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that sustains southerly warm advection and suppresses nocturnal cooling across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have remained locked within a narrow 1 °C envelope, producing the market’s 99.8 % implied probability for the 18 °C bin. This consensus reflects high short-range predictability under stable synoptic conditions typical of mid-May climatology. The outcome could shift only if a late forecast adjustment or localized sensor variation at the Tokyo Haneda Airport station alters the recorded value outside the 18 °C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,788Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTCurrent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance positions Tokyo’s official minimum temperature at 18 °C on May 17, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that sustains southerly warm advection and suppresses nocturnal cooling across the Kanto Plain. Successive operational model runs have remained locked within a narrow 1 °C envelope, producing the market’s 99.8 % implied probability for the 18 °C bin. This consensus reflects high short-range predictability under stable synoptic conditions typical of mid-May climatology. The outcome could shift only if a late forecast adjustment or localized sensor variation at the Tokyo Haneda Airport station alters the recorded value outside the 18 °C threshold.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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