Lyntris priced its downsized IPO at $17.50 per share for 17 million shares on August 18, well below the $19–$22 range, before shares opened at $15.50 on the NYSE on August 19 and declined another 11%, producing an immediate market capitalization near $1.78–1.89 billion. The defense technology firm, formed earlier this year via Trive Capital’s combination of Accelint and Vitesse with trailing twelve-month revenue of roughly $451 million, faced limited investor appetite that compressed valuation far below the original $2.53 billion target. Trader consensus at 99.5% for a sub-$2 billion close reflects this concrete post-IPO trading data. Only an extraordinary rebound in share price before final settlement could alter the outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLyntris IPO Closing Market Cap
<$2B 99.5%
$2B-$2.5B <1%
$2.5B-$3B <1%
$3B-$3.5B <1%
$16,782 Vol.
$16,782 Vol.
<$2B
Yes
$2B-$2.5B
No
$2.5B-$3B
No
$3B-$3.5B
No
$3.5B-$4B
No
$4B+
No
No IPO before October 2026
No
<$2B 99.5%
$2B-$2.5B <1%
$2.5B-$3B <1%
$3B-$3.5B <1%
$16,782 Vol.
$16,782 Vol.
<$2B
Yes
$2B-$2.5B
No
$2.5B-$3B
No
$3B-$3.5B
No
$3.5B-$4B
No
$4B+
No
No IPO before October 2026
No
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 9:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
Lyntris priced its downsized IPO at $17.50 per share for 17 million shares on August 18, well below the $19–$22 range, before shares opened at $15.50 on the NYSE on August 19 and declined another 11%, producing an immediate market capitalization near $1.78–1.89 billion. The defense technology firm, formed earlier this year via Trive Capital’s combination of Accelint and Vitesse with trailing twelve-month revenue of roughly $451 million, faced limited investor appetite that compressed valuation far below the original $2.53 billion target. Trader consensus at 99.5% for a sub-$2 billion close reflects this concrete post-IPO trading data. Only an extraordinary rebound in share price before final settlement could alter the outcome.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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