Recent polling and final vote tabulation in Quebec's October 5 election show the Parti Québécois securing 59 seats in the 127-seat National Assembly, falling five short of a majority while finishing 19 seats ahead of the Liberals. This outcome reflects sustained PQ momentum among francophone voters, the complete collapse of the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec, and stronger-than-expected showings by the Liberals and Conservatives that fragmented the remaining vote. The tight distribution of seats leaves the exact margin of victory between the PQ and the second-place party hovering near the boundary of the leading market intervals, with traders pricing in uncertainty around final official counts and any late adjustments in closely contested ridings.