Recent polling from Synopsis and Pallas Data shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight popular vote race near 30 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising modestly to around 16-18 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s resignation. Trader consensus assigns the PQ the highest probability of winning the most seats in the October 2026 election because its support concentrates efficiently among francophone voters outside Montreal, producing stronger projected outcomes under the first-past-the-post system. The Liberals trail in seat models despite urban gains, while the CAQ remains distant after years of declining support. Minor parties such as the Conservatives and Québec solidaire register negligible shares and lack clear paths to victory. These dynamics hinge on further shifts in voter turnout and regional preferences through the fall campaign.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
Nagwagi ng Pangkalahatang Halalan sa Quebec
PQ 59%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,114 Vol.
$505,114 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
59%
PLQ
29%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,114 Vol.
$505,114 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$52,361 Vol.
59%
PLQ
$56,150 Vol.
29%
CAQ
$59,486 Vol.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 Vol.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling from Synopsis and Pallas Data shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight popular vote race near 30 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising modestly to around 16-18 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s resignation. Trader consensus assigns the PQ the highest probability of winning the most seats in the October 2026 election because its support concentrates efficiently among francophone voters outside Montreal, producing stronger projected outcomes under the first-past-the-post system. The Liberals trail in seat models despite urban gains, while the CAQ remains distant after years of declining support. Minor parties such as the Conservatives and Québec solidaire register negligible shares and lack clear paths to victory. These dynamics hinge on further shifts in voter turnout and regional preferences through the fall campaign.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$505,114Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling from Synopsis and Pallas Data shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight popular vote race near 30 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising modestly to around 16-18 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s resignation. Trader consensus assigns the PQ the highest probability of winning the most seats in the October 2026 election because its support concentrates efficiently among francophone voters outside Montreal, producing stronger projected outcomes under the first-past-the-post system. The Liberals trail in seat models despite urban gains, while the CAQ remains distant after years of declining support. Minor parties such as the Conservatives and Québec solidaire register negligible shares and lack clear paths to victory. These dynamics hinge on further shifts in voter turnout and regional preferences through the fall campaign.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$505,114Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Synopsis and Pallas Data shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight popular vote race near 30 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec rising modestly to around 16-18 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s resignation. Trader consensus assigns the PQ the highest probability of winning the most seats in the October 2026 election because its support concentrates efficiently among francophone voters outside Montreal, producing stronger projected outcomes under the first-past-the-post system. The Liberals trail in seat models despite urban gains, while the CAQ remains distant after years of declining support. Minor parties such as the Conservatives and Québec solidaire register negligible shares and lack clear paths to victory. These dynamics hinge on further shifts in voter turnout and regional preferences through the fall campaign.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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