Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire has positioned Helena Foulkes as the clear frontrunner in Rhode Island’s September 9 Democratic primary for governor, with a 34-point lead over incumbent Dan McKee among likely primary voters and 76 percent disapproval of the governor’s job performance. This gap has widened from earlier surveys, reflecting voter priorities on infrastructure, housing costs, and the economy. Foulkes has also outpaced McKee in first-quarter fundraising by more than double, bolstering her campaign momentum. These developments align with current trader consensus favoring Foulkes at 71 percent while assigning McKee a secondary 20 percent chance, with minor candidates Gregory Stevens and Joe Shekarchi drawing negligible support. The primary timeline leaves room for further shifts before September balloting.