**The high probability assigned to "No" reflects the SAVE Act's repeated failure to advance past Senate procedural hurdles despite multiple House passages and sustained presidential pressure.** The legislation, which would mandate documentary proof of citizenship for federal voter registration along with photo ID requirements, cleared the House in February 2026 (218-213) and earlier iterations but has been blocked in the Senate, where 60 votes are needed to overcome a filibuster. Four Republican senators—Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Mitch McConnell, and Thom Tillis—have joined Democrats in opposing key attempts, including amendments to DHS funding and the NDAA. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has stated there is little prospect of floor consideration for the remainder of the session, and efforts to attach the measure to must-pass bills have not succeeded. President Trump has repeatedly tied other priorities, such as housing legislation, to its passage and called it a national emergency, yet these tactics have not shifted enough Republican support. With the 119th Congress nearing its later stages and no new procedural or vote-count breakthroughs reported, traders view enactment in 2026 as highly unlikely absent a major shift in Senate dynamics.