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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for SC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Smith 71%

Alex Pelbath 13%

Sam McCown 10.7%

Jay Byars 4.0%

Polymarket

$14,480 Vol.

Mark Smith 71%

Alex Pelbath 13%

Sam McCown 10.7%

Jay Byars 4.0%

Polymarket

$14,480 Vol.

Mark Smith

$5,657 Vol.

71%

Alex Pelbath

$2,492 Vol.

16%

Sam McCown

$2,086 Vol.

11%

Jay Byars

$681 Vol.

4%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$643 Vol.

3%

Jack Ellison

$945 Vol.

2%

Logan Cunningham

$733 Vol.

1%

Justin Myers

$603 Vol.

1%

Dan Brown

$641 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, an open seat created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign. Traders assign him a 70.5% implied probability, driven by his nearly $727,000 in fundraising through March and his record as a state representative from Berkeley County. A mid-April candidate forum straw poll showed Smith ahead at 34.1%, narrowly edging Alex Pelbath, a retired Air Force colonel emphasizing military service and Trump-aligned priorities who has raised roughly $365,000. Sam McCown and the remaining candidates trail in both fundraising and early voter attention within the nine-person field. Recent forums and grassroots events continue to shape positioning ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,480
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith has emerged as the clear frontrunner in the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, an open seat created by Rep. Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial campaign. Traders assign him a 70.5% implied probability, driven by his nearly $727,000 in fundraising through March and his record as a state representative from Berkeley County. A mid-April candidate forum straw poll showed Smith ahead at 34.1%, narrowly edging Alex Pelbath, a retired Air Force colonel emphasizing military service and Trump-aligned priorities who has raised roughly $365,000. Sam McCown and the remaining candidates trail in both fundraising and early voter attention within the nine-person field. Recent forums and grassroots events continue to shape positioning ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,480
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mark Smith" sa 71%, sinusundan ng "Alex Pelbath" sa 17%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 71¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $14.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 18, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Mark Smith" sa 71%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alex Pelbath" sa 17%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.