The 98.3% market-implied probability of no Stripe IPO closing by June 30, 2026, stems from the standard multi-month U.S. listing process following the company’s updated S-1 filing on May 15, 2026, which targets an approximately $90 billion valuation. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at $159 billion and reported profitability in 2024–2025 underscore solid fundamentals, yet the compressed six-week window leaves insufficient time for roadshow execution, regulatory review, and investor marketing. Traders are pricing in historical IPO timelines and the absence of any announced listing date. An unusually expedited process amid favorable equity-market conditions could theoretically shift odds, though such acceleration remains improbable given current regulatory and operational realities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateStripe IPO Closing Market Cap
Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026 98.3%
100–120B <1%
140B+ <1%
80–100B <1%
$168,649 Vol.
$168,649 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<80B
<1%
80–100B
1%
100–120B
1%
120–140B
<1%
140B+
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
98%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 98.3%
100–120B <1%
140B+ <1%
80–100B <1%
$168,649 Vol.
$168,649 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<80B
$71,585 Vol.
<1%
80–100B
$14,561 Vol.
1%
100–120B
$16,230 Vol.
1%
120–140B
$33,005 Vol.
<1%
140B+
$14,561 Vol.
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$18,707 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 98.3% market-implied probability of no Stripe IPO closing by June 30, 2026, stems from the standard multi-month U.S. listing process following the company’s updated S-1 filing on May 15, 2026, which targets an approximately $90 billion valuation. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at $159 billion and reported profitability in 2024–2025 underscore solid fundamentals, yet the compressed six-week window leaves insufficient time for roadshow execution, regulatory review, and investor marketing. Traders are pricing in historical IPO timelines and the absence of any announced listing date. An unusually expedited process amid favorable equity-market conditions could theoretically shift odds, though such acceleration remains improbable given current regulatory and operational realities.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Volume
$168,649Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 98.3% market-implied probability of no Stripe IPO closing by June 30, 2026, stems from the standard multi-month U.S. listing process following the company’s updated S-1 filing on May 15, 2026, which targets an approximately $90 billion valuation. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at $159 billion and reported profitability in 2024–2025 underscore solid fundamentals, yet the compressed six-week window leaves insufficient time for roadshow execution, regulatory review, and investor marketing. Traders are pricing in historical IPO timelines and the absence of any announced listing date. An unusually expedited process amid favorable equity-market conditions could theoretically shift odds, though such acceleration remains improbable given current regulatory and operational realities.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$168,649Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 98.3% market-implied probability of no Stripe IPO closing by June 30, 2026, stems from the standard multi-month U.S. listing process following the company’s updated S-1 filing on May 15, 2026, which targets an approximately $90 billion valuation. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at $159 billion and reported profitability in 2024–2025 underscore solid fundamentals, yet the compressed six-week window leaves insufficient time for roadshow execution, regulatory review, and investor marketing. Traders are pricing in historical IPO timelines and the absence of any announced listing date. An unusually expedited process amid favorable equity-market conditions could theoretically shift odds, though such acceleration remains improbable given current regulatory and operational realities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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