Z.ai holds the strongest position at 62% implied probability for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30, driven by its GLM-5.3-flash and max models ranking third in recent arena.ai lab aggregates behind Anthropic and Google. The August 2026 GLM-5.3 release delivered competitive math reasoning scores on benchmarks like MATH-500 and AIME variants while offering low-cost, open-weight deployment that supports broad evaluation participation. Alibaba and Moonshot sit further back at 17% and 5% respectively, reflecting solid but lower arena placement, while OpenAI, Meta, and others trade below 5% amid slower math-specific gains relative to frontier leaders. With resolution imminent, any unannounced model updates or voting surges in the final days could shift lab rankings before the cutoff.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Z.ai 62.1%
Alibaba 17%
Google 10%
Meta 5.2%
$66,592 Vol.
$66,592 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
62%
Alibaba
17%
10%
Meta
5%
OpenAI
5%
Moonshot
5%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 62.1%
Alibaba 17%
Google 10%
Meta 5.2%
$66,592 Vol.
$66,592 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
$7,785 Vol.
62%
Alibaba
$14,096 Vol.
17%
$7,963 Vol.
10%
Meta
$2,007 Vol.
5%
OpenAI
$9,945 Vol.
5%
Moonshot
$3,024 Vol.
5%
SpaceXAI
$2,002 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,545 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,813 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$2,649 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$2,720 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,560 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$756 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$575 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$698 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Z.ai holds the strongest position at 62% implied probability for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30, driven by its GLM-5.3-flash and max models ranking third in recent arena.ai lab aggregates behind Anthropic and Google. The August 2026 GLM-5.3 release delivered competitive math reasoning scores on benchmarks like MATH-500 and AIME variants while offering low-cost, open-weight deployment that supports broad evaluation participation. Alibaba and Moonshot sit further back at 17% and 5% respectively, reflecting solid but lower arena placement, while OpenAI, Meta, and others trade below 5% amid slower math-specific gains relative to frontier leaders. With resolution imminent, any unannounced model updates or voting surges in the final days could shift lab rankings before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Volume
$66,592Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Z.ai holds the strongest position at 62% implied probability for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30, driven by its GLM-5.3-flash and max models ranking third in recent arena.ai lab aggregates behind Anthropic and Google. The August 2026 GLM-5.3 release delivered competitive math reasoning scores on benchmarks like MATH-500 and AIME variants while offering low-cost, open-weight deployment that supports broad evaluation participation. Alibaba and Moonshot sit further back at 17% and 5% respectively, reflecting solid but lower arena placement, while OpenAI, Meta, and others trade below 5% amid slower math-specific gains relative to frontier leaders. With resolution imminent, any unannounced model updates or voting surges in the final days could shift lab rankings before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$66,592Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Z.ai holds the strongest position at 62% implied probability for third place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30, driven by its GLM-5.3-flash and max models ranking third in recent arena.ai lab aggregates behind Anthropic and Google. The August 2026 GLM-5.3 release delivered competitive math reasoning scores on benchmarks like MATH-500 and AIME variants while offering low-cost, open-weight deployment that supports broad evaluation participation. Alibaba and Moonshot sit further back at 17% and 5% respectively, reflecting solid but lower arena placement, while OpenAI, Meta, and others trade below 5% amid slower math-specific gains relative to frontier leaders. With resolution imminent, any unannounced model updates or voting surges in the final days could shift lab rankings before the cutoff.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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