Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet blackouts to restrict information flows during domestic protests and external conflicts, most recently triggering a partial shutdown in January 2026 amid widespread anti-government demonstrations over economic conditions and currency collapse, followed by an 88-day near-total outage beginning February 28 during U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity fell to roughly 1% of normal levels for extended periods, marking one of the longest recorded national disruptions, before partial restoration on May 26 under presidential directive, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and roughly 31% of international domains are inaccessible as of mid-September. The government has advanced a more distributed censorship architecture emphasizing whitelists, the National Information Network, and selective access for elites, reducing reliance on blunt total blackouts while preserving control. Trader assessments of future total outages hinge on risks of renewed protests, escalation in regional tensions, or institutional shifts, weighed against documented economic costs exceeding $1 billion in prior episodes and the regime's demonstrated capacity to absorb unrest without systemic fracture.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$248,116 Vol.
September 30
6%
December 31
32%
$248,116 Vol.
September 30
6%
December 31
32%
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet blackouts to restrict information flows during domestic protests and external conflicts, most recently triggering a partial shutdown in January 2026 amid widespread anti-government demonstrations over economic conditions and currency collapse, followed by an 88-day near-total outage beginning February 28 during U.S.-Israeli strikes. Connectivity fell to roughly 1% of normal levels for extended periods, marking one of the longest recorded national disruptions, before partial restoration on May 26 under presidential directive, though speeds remain low, major platforms stay blocked, and roughly 31% of international domains are inaccessible as of mid-September. The government has advanced a more distributed censorship architecture emphasizing whitelists, the National Information Network, and selective access for elites, reducing reliance on blunt total blackouts while preserving control. Trader assessments of future total outages hinge on risks of renewed protests, escalation in regional tensions, or institutional shifts, weighed against documented economic costs exceeding $1 billion in prior episodes and the regime's demonstrated capacity to absorb unrest without systemic fracture.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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