Congress has taken no steps to authorize an active military draft for 2026, and the Selective Service System remains focused solely on maintaining registration rather than induction authority. Recent passage of the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act directed only automatic registration of eligible men beginning in December, streamlining an existing process without restoring conscription powers. Bipartisan legislation introduced in mid-May to abolish the Selective Service altogether further signals limited congressional appetite for draft revival. The all-volunteer force continues without evidence of recruitment shortfalls severe enough to trigger emergency authorization, leaving traders with high confidence that no such measure will advance this year.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$251,576 Vol.
$251,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$251,576 Vol.
$251,576 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress has taken no steps to authorize an active military draft for 2026, and the Selective Service System remains focused solely on maintaining registration rather than induction authority. Recent passage of the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act directed only automatic registration of eligible men beginning in December, streamlining an existing process without restoring conscription powers. Bipartisan legislation introduced in mid-May to abolish the Selective Service altogether further signals limited congressional appetite for draft revival. The all-volunteer force continues without evidence of recruitment shortfalls severe enough to trigger emergency authorization, leaving traders with high confidence that no such measure will advance this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volume
$251,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress has taken no steps to authorize an active military draft for 2026, and the Selective Service System remains focused solely on maintaining registration rather than induction authority. Recent passage of the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act directed only automatic registration of eligible men beginning in December, streamlining an existing process without restoring conscription powers. Bipartisan legislation introduced in mid-May to abolish the Selective Service altogether further signals limited congressional appetite for draft revival. The all-volunteer force continues without evidence of recruitment shortfalls severe enough to trigger emergency authorization, leaving traders with high confidence that no such measure will advance this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$251,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congress has taken no steps to authorize an active military draft for 2026, and the Selective Service System remains focused solely on maintaining registration rather than induction authority. Recent passage of the fiscal year 2026 National Defense Authorization Act directed only automatic registration of eligible men beginning in December, streamlining an existing process without restoring conscription powers. Bipartisan legislation introduced in mid-May to abolish the Selective Service altogether further signals limited congressional appetite for draft revival. The all-volunteer force continues without evidence of recruitment shortfalls severe enough to trigger emergency authorization, leaving traders with high confidence that no such measure will advance this year.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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