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UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

icon for UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

BAGO
Polymarket
BAGO

Celeste Maloy

$0 Vol.

75%

Phil Lyman

$2 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Celeste Maloy holds a clear lead in the June 23 Republican primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 3rd Congressional District, while Phil Lyman trails as the main challenger.** The district’s court-ordered boundaries, stretching from northern counties like Morgan and Summit south to the Arizona border, create a more rural and conservative electorate than Maloy’s prior seat. At the April Utah GOP convention, delegates split narrowly (Maloy 51%-49%), sending both candidates to the primary after neither reached the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. Maloy benefits from incumbency, broader name recognition, and positioning as a pragmatic problem-solver, while Lyman appeals to voters seeking a stronger conservative disruptor on issues like public lands, water, and government accountability. A June 1 debate highlighted their agreement on many core issues but underscored stylistic differences. With the primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Maloy’s structural advantages and recent momentum, though Lyman retains an outside path in a low-turnout contest. Other listed candidates face significant barriers to ballot access or visibility.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 24, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Celeste Maloy holds a clear lead in the June 23 Republican primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 3rd Congressional District, while Phil Lyman trails as the main challenger.** The district’s court-ordered boundaries, stretching from northern counties like Morgan and Summit south to the Arizona border, create a more rural and conservative electorate than Maloy’s prior seat. At the April Utah GOP convention, delegates split narrowly (Maloy 51%-49%), sending both candidates to the primary after neither reached the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. Maloy benefits from incumbency, broader name recognition, and positioning as a pragmatic problem-solver, while Lyman appeals to voters seeking a stronger conservative disruptor on issues like public lands, water, and government accountability. A June 1 debate highlighted their agreement on many core issues but underscored stylistic differences. With the primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Maloy’s structural advantages and recent momentum, though Lyman retains an outside path in a low-turnout contest. Other listed candidates face significant barriers to ballot access or visibility.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 24, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 12, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "UT-03 Republican Primary Winner " ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Celeste Maloy" sa 75%, sinusundan ng "Phil Lyman" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 75¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 75% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "UT-03 Republican Primary Winner " ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 12, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "UT-03 Republican Primary Winner ," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "UT-03 Republican Primary Winner " ay "Celeste Maloy" sa 75%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 75% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Phil Lyman" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "UT-03 Republican Primary Winner " ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.