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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 Vol.

Brad Lander 83%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 Vol.

Brad Lander

$4,962 Vol.

83%

Dan Goldman

$2,469 Vol.

18%

Cameron Kasky

$1,591 Vol.

<1%

Alexa Avilés

$1,608 Vol.

<1%

Yuh-Line Niou

$1,313 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a May 1-4 Schoen Cooperman poll—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing him ahead 47%-42% among likely voters, within the margin of error. Lander's edge stems from strong progressive endorsements including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and unions like 32BJ SEIU and DC37 AFSCME, leveraging his deep ties in brownstone Brooklyn amid a leftward district shift. Incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman counters with self-funding over $1 million, Gov. Kathy Hochul, and Hakeem Jeffries backing, but polls diverge notably from market pricing. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou register negligible support.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,942
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 83% implied probability to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a May 1-4 Schoen Cooperman poll—commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC—showing him ahead 47%-42% among likely voters, within the margin of error. Lander's edge stems from strong progressive endorsements including Mayor Zohran Mamdani, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and unions like 32BJ SEIU and DC37 AFSCME, leveraging his deep ties in brownstone Brooklyn amid a leftward district shift. Incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman counters with self-funding over $1 million, Gov. Kathy Hochul, and Hakeem Jeffries backing, but polls diverge notably from market pricing. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou register negligible support.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$11,942
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Brad Lander" sa 83%, sinusundan ng "Dan Goldman" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 83¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $11.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Brad Lander" sa 83%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Dan Goldman" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.