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icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·House Primary

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 88%

David Trone 12%

Daniel Krakower <1%

Alexis Goldstein <1%

Polymarket

$17,039 Vol.

April McClain Delaney 88%

David Trone 12%

Daniel Krakower <1%

Alexis Goldstein <1%

Polymarket

$17,039 Vol.

April McClain Delaney

$3,312 Vol.

88%

David Trone

$2,632 Vol.

12%

Daniel Krakower

$1,502 Vol.

<1%

Alexis Goldstein

$1,662 Vol.

<1%

Kiambo White

$2,925 Vol.

<1%

George Gluck

$1,822 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$1,757 Vol.

<1%

Altimont Wilks

$1,428 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney, the incumbent representative for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, holds an 88% implied probability in the Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, 2026, while former Rep. David Trone sits at 11.5%.** Delaney succeeded Trone after his unsuccessful 2024 Senate bid and has maintained a consistent polling lead—recent surveys show her ahead by double digits with high approval ratings—even as Trone has self-funded tens of millions in advertising and loans. Party-aligned groups such as EMILYs List have backed Delaney, and she has secured endorsements from state legislators including Delegate Joe Vogel. Trone’s heavy spending has not narrowed the gap, reflecting voter preference for the sitting member’s record on district priorities amid a short campaign window. The remaining candidates register negligible support and lack comparable fundraising or name recognition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,039
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**April McClain Delaney, the incumbent representative for Maryland’s 6th Congressional District, holds an 88% implied probability in the Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, 2026, while former Rep. David Trone sits at 11.5%.** Delaney succeeded Trone after his unsuccessful 2024 Senate bid and has maintained a consistent polling lead—recent surveys show her ahead by double digits with high approval ratings—even as Trone has self-funded tens of millions in advertising and loans. Party-aligned groups such as EMILYs List have backed Delaney, and she has secured endorsements from state legislators including Delegate Joe Vogel. Trone’s heavy spending has not narrowed the gap, reflecting voter preference for the sitting member’s record on district priorities amid a short campaign window. The remaining candidates register negligible support and lack comparable fundraising or name recognition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$17,039
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "April McClain Delaney" sa 88%, sinusundan ng "David Trone" sa 12%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 88¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 88% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $17K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 19, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "April McClain Delaney" sa 88%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 88% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "David Trone" sa 12%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.