**Trader consensus centers on the federal funds rate ending 2026 near 3.75–4.0%, reflecting the June 2026 FOMC dot plot median of 3.8% and futures pricing around 3.8–4.1%.** The current 3.50–3.75% target range has held steady through multiple 2026 meetings amid elevated inflation readings near 3.4–3.5% year-over-year, driven partly by energy price pressures from Middle East developments. Solid labor market conditions, resilient economic growth, and a divided FOMC—with some members favoring hikes—have shifted expectations from earlier cuts toward a higher-for-longer path. Upcoming September data releases and the next FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities around these levels.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAno ang magiging rate ng Fed sa pagtatapos ng 2026?
Ano ang magiging rate ng Fed sa pagtatapos ng 2026?
3.75% 45.2%
4.0% 21.3%
4.25% 13.5%
3.5% 8.5%
$6,754,262 Vol.
$6,754,262 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
≤1.0%
<1%
1.25
1%
1.5%
1%
1.75%
<1%
2.0%
<1%
2.25%
<1%
2.5%
1%
2.75%
1%
3.0%
1%
3.25%
1%
3.5%
9%
3.75%
42%
4.0%
21%
4.25%
13%
≥ 4.5%
6%
3.75% 45.2%
4.0% 21.3%
4.25% 13.5%
3.5% 8.5%
$6,754,262 Vol.
$6,754,262 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
≤1.0%
$242,700 Vol.
<1%
1.25
$142,459 Vol.
1%
1.5%
$145,909 Vol.
1%
1.75%
$147,820 Vol.
<1%
2.0%
$262,907 Vol.
<1%
2.25%
$87,644 Vol.
<1%
2.5%
$172,865 Vol.
1%
2.75%
$60,980 Vol.
1%
3.0%
$488,730 Vol.
1%
3.25%
$64,233 Vol.
1%
3.5%
$202,092 Vol.
9%
3.75%
$531,835 Vol.
42%
4.0%
$1,368,889 Vol.
21%
4.25%
$427,264 Vol.
13%
≥ 4.5%
$2,407,936 Vol.
6%
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).**Trader consensus centers on the federal funds rate ending 2026 near 3.75–4.0%, reflecting the June 2026 FOMC dot plot median of 3.8% and futures pricing around 3.8–4.1%.** The current 3.50–3.75% target range has held steady through multiple 2026 meetings amid elevated inflation readings near 3.4–3.5% year-over-year, driven partly by energy price pressures from Middle East developments. Solid labor market conditions, resilient economic growth, and a divided FOMC—with some members favoring hikes—have shifted expectations from earlier cuts toward a higher-for-longer path. Upcoming September data releases and the next FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities around these levels.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
Volume
$6,754,262Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).**Trader consensus centers on the federal funds rate ending 2026 near 3.75–4.0%, reflecting the June 2026 FOMC dot plot median of 3.8% and futures pricing around 3.8–4.1%.** The current 3.50–3.75% target range has held steady through multiple 2026 meetings amid elevated inflation readings near 3.4–3.5% year-over-year, driven partly by energy price pressures from Middle East developments. Solid labor market conditions, resilient economic growth, and a divided FOMC—with some members favoring hikes—have shifted expectations from earlier cuts toward a higher-for-longer path. Upcoming September data releases and the next FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities around these levels.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
Volume
$6,754,262Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus centers on the federal funds rate ending 2026 near 3.75–4.0%, reflecting the June 2026 FOMC dot plot median of 3.8% and futures pricing around 3.8–4.1%.** The current 3.50–3.75% target range has held steady through multiple 2026 meetings amid elevated inflation readings near 3.4–3.5% year-over-year, driven partly by energy price pressures from Middle East developments. Solid labor market conditions, resilient economic growth, and a divided FOMC—with some members favoring hikes—have shifted expectations from earlier cuts toward a higher-for-longer path. Upcoming September data releases and the next FOMC meeting remain key near-term catalysts that could adjust probabilities around these levels.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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