Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$339k - $342k 23%
$342k - $345k 20%
>$354k 14%
$348k - $351k 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2026
<$339k
11%
$339k - $342k
23%
$342k - $345k
20%
$345k - $348k
9%
$348k - $351k
9%
$351k - $354k
7%
>$354k
11%
$339k - $342k 23%
$342k - $345k 20%
>$354k 14%
$348k - $351k 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 30, 2026
<$339k
$77 Vol.
11%
$339k - $342k
$51 Vol.
23%
$342k - $345k
$258 Vol.
20%
$345k - $348k
$173 Vol.
9%
$348k - $351k
$188 Vol.
9%
$351k - $354k
$46 Vol.
7%
>$354k
$185 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$978Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volume
$978Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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