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Politika·Mga Demokratiko

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

icon for Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
Politika·Mga Demokratiko

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

36% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
36% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The wide-open 2028 Democratic field features several high-profile male governors and senators actively building national profiles through midterm events and donor outreach, including Gavin Newsom's consistent polling leads and recent megadonor endorsement. This positioning coincides with internal party discussions on electability following consecutive losses by the party's most recent female nominees, which has amplified focus on a deeper bench of male contenders such as Josh Shapiro, Andy Beshear, and Wes Moore. Kamala Harris has signaled interest in another run yet encounters donor caution tied to her prior campaign, while no comparable early momentum has consolidated around other women. These dynamics have shaped trader consensus around the implied probability for a female nominee.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,196
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The wide-open 2028 Democratic field features several high-profile male governors and senators actively building national profiles through midterm events and donor outreach, including Gavin Newsom's consistent polling leads and recent megadonor endorsement. This positioning coincides with internal party discussions on electability following consecutive losses by the party's most recent female nominees, which has amplified focus on a deeper bench of male contenders such as Josh Shapiro, Andy Beshear, and Wes Moore. Kamala Harris has signaled interest in another run yet encounters donor caution tied to her prior campaign, while no comparable early momentum has consolidated around other women. These dynamics have shaped trader consensus around the implied probability for a female nominee.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,196
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 7, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 17, 2026, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the individual that wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 36% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 36¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 36% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Feb 17, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" ay 36% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 36% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.