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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

BAGO
Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong

$2,632 Vol.

97%

icon for David Crowley

David Crowley

$53 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Francesca Hong holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, particularly in Dane County, due to her status as the clear polling frontrunner and her deep roots as a Madison-based state representative in the state's most progressive urban area. Recent Marquette and other surveys show her maintaining double-digit leads over rivals including Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, state Sen. Kelda Roys, and former cabinet secretary Joel Brennan heading into the August 11 primary. Her local base, emphasis on working-class issues, and consistent support in Dane County polling contribute to trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability for her winning the county. A late surge by an opponent or unexpected turnout shift in suburban precincts could narrow the margin, though the short timeline limits such possibilities before votes are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
Volume
$2,686
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Francesca Hong holds a commanding position in the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, particularly in Dane County, due to her status as the clear polling frontrunner and her deep roots as a Madison-based state representative in the state's most progressive urban area. Recent Marquette and other surveys show her maintaining double-digit leads over rivals including Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, state Sen. Kelda Roys, and former cabinet secretary Joel Brennan heading into the August 11 primary. Her local base, emphasis on working-class issues, and consistent support in Dane County polling contribute to trader consensus reflected in the high implied probability for her winning the county. A late surge by an opponent or unexpected turnout shift in suburban precincts could narrow the margin, though the short timeline limits such possibilities before votes are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
Volume
$2,686
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.

Kaugnay

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Will David Crowley win Milwaukee County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

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Will Francesca Hong win Kenosha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

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Will Francesca Hong win Waukesha County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 2 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Francesca Hong" sa 97%, sinusundan ng "David Crowley" sa 2%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 97¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 97% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 7, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)," i-browse ang 2 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" ay "Francesca Hong" sa 97%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 97% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "David Crowley" sa 2%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.