Argentina's April monthly inflation rate slowed to 2.6 percent from 3.4 percent in March, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and aligning closely with economist forecasts of 2.5 percent. This outcome, driven by lower core CPI at 2.3 percent and moderated gains in regulated prices despite fuel and transport pressures, has reinforced trader expectations for continued disinflation in May amid the central bank's steady monetary policy and fiscal balance. The 2.2–2.4 percent range now commands the highest implied probability at 66.5 percent, reflecting consensus around a gradual decline toward the 30.5 percent year-end annual target. Market participants are closely watching the June INDEC release for confirmation of this trajectory, with any upside surprises in seasonal or energy components potentially shifting odds toward the 2.5–2.7 percent band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.2–2.4% 61%
≤2.1% 23%
2.5–2.7% 18%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Обс.
$46,634 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
23%
2.2–2.4%
61%
2.5–2.7%
18%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
6%
3.7–3.9%
5%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 61%
≤2.1% 23%
2.5–2.7% 18%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Обс.
$46,634 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$415 Обс.
23%
2.2–2.4%
$46,084 Обс.
61%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Обс.
18%
2.8–3.0%
$50 Обс.
12%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Обс.
6%
3.4–3.6%
$1 Обс.
6%
3.7–3.9%
$20 Обс.
5%
4.0%+
$63 Обс.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April monthly inflation rate slowed to 2.6 percent from 3.4 percent in March, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and aligning closely with economist forecasts of 2.5 percent. This outcome, driven by lower core CPI at 2.3 percent and moderated gains in regulated prices despite fuel and transport pressures, has reinforced trader expectations for continued disinflation in May amid the central bank's steady monetary policy and fiscal balance. The 2.2–2.4 percent range now commands the highest implied probability at 66.5 percent, reflecting consensus around a gradual decline toward the 30.5 percent year-end annual target. Market participants are closely watching the June INDEC release for confirmation of this trajectory, with any upside surprises in seasonal or energy components potentially shifting odds toward the 2.5–2.7 percent band.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$46,634Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's April monthly inflation rate slowed to 2.6 percent from 3.4 percent in March, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and aligning closely with economist forecasts of 2.5 percent. This outcome, driven by lower core CPI at 2.3 percent and moderated gains in regulated prices despite fuel and transport pressures, has reinforced trader expectations for continued disinflation in May amid the central bank's steady monetary policy and fiscal balance. The 2.2–2.4 percent range now commands the highest implied probability at 66.5 percent, reflecting consensus around a gradual decline toward the 30.5 percent year-end annual target. Market participants are closely watching the June INDEC release for confirmation of this trajectory, with any upside surprises in seasonal or energy components potentially shifting odds toward the 2.5–2.7 percent band.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$46,634Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's April monthly inflation rate slowed to 2.6 percent from 3.4 percent in March, marking the first deceleration in eleven months and aligning closely with economist forecasts of 2.5 percent. This outcome, driven by lower core CPI at 2.3 percent and moderated gains in regulated prices despite fuel and transport pressures, has reinforced trader expectations for continued disinflation in May amid the central bank's steady monetary policy and fiscal balance. The 2.2–2.4 percent range now commands the highest implied probability at 66.5 percent, reflecting consensus around a gradual decline toward the 30.5 percent year-end annual target. Market participants are closely watching the June INDEC release for confirmation of this trajectory, with any upside surprises in seasonal or energy components potentially shifting odds toward the 2.5–2.7 percent band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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