Argentina’s April monthly inflation reading of 2.6 percent, the first deceleration in 11 months and in line with economist forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for a continued moderation into May. President Javier Milei’s austerity measures and tighter monetary conditions have supported this disinflation trend, with year-over-year inflation falling to 32.4 percent. Market-implied odds favor the 2.2–2.4 percent band at 64.5 percent, reflecting the consensus that recent oil-price stabilization and policy continuity will keep month-on-month gains contained. Key upcoming data releases and any shifts in fiscal or exchange-rate policy remain the primary swing factors that could alter these probabilities before the May figure is published.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.2–2.4% 58%
≤2.1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 25%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Обс.
$46,634 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
22%
2.2–2.4%
58%
2.5–2.7%
25%
2.8–3.0%
12%
3.1–3.3%
6%
3.4–3.6%
6%
3.7–3.9%
6%
4.0%+
3%
2.2–2.4% 58%
≤2.1% 29%
2.5–2.7% 25%
2.8–3.0% 12%
$46,634 Обс.
$46,634 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
≤2.1%
$415 Обс.
22%
2.2–2.4%
$46,084 Обс.
58%
2.5–2.7%
$0 Обс.
25%
2.8–3.0%
$50 Обс.
12%
3.1–3.3%
$0 Обс.
6%
3.4–3.6%
$1 Обс.
6%
3.7–3.9%
$20 Обс.
6%
4.0%+
$63 Обс.
3%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s April monthly inflation reading of 2.6 percent, the first deceleration in 11 months and in line with economist forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for a continued moderation into May. President Javier Milei’s austerity measures and tighter monetary conditions have supported this disinflation trend, with year-over-year inflation falling to 32.4 percent. Market-implied odds favor the 2.2–2.4 percent band at 64.5 percent, reflecting the consensus that recent oil-price stabilization and policy continuity will keep month-on-month gains contained. Key upcoming data releases and any shifts in fiscal or exchange-rate policy remain the primary swing factors that could alter these probabilities before the May figure is published.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$46,634Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s April monthly inflation reading of 2.6 percent, the first deceleration in 11 months and in line with economist forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for a continued moderation into May. President Javier Milei’s austerity measures and tighter monetary conditions have supported this disinflation trend, with year-over-year inflation falling to 32.4 percent. Market-implied odds favor the 2.2–2.4 percent band at 64.5 percent, reflecting the consensus that recent oil-price stabilization and policy continuity will keep month-on-month gains contained. Key upcoming data releases and any shifts in fiscal or exchange-rate policy remain the primary swing factors that could alter these probabilities before the May figure is published.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on June 11, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$46,634Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina’s April monthly inflation reading of 2.6 percent, the first deceleration in 11 months and in line with economist forecasts, has anchored trader expectations for a continued moderation into May. President Javier Milei’s austerity measures and tighter monetary conditions have supported this disinflation trend, with year-over-year inflation falling to 32.4 percent. Market-implied odds favor the 2.2–2.4 percent band at 64.5 percent, reflecting the consensus that recent oil-price stabilization and policy continuity will keep month-on-month gains contained. Key upcoming data releases and any shifts in fiscal or exchange-rate policy remain the primary swing factors that could alter these probabilities before the May figure is published.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання