Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes anchors the strong consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, backed by an eight-term record, over $2.3 million in cash on hand, and the seat's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent 59-62% margins in recent cycles. No competitive Republican has filed ahead of the June 9 deadline, leaving only minor primary contenders and independents for the November 3 general election. With primaries set for August 11, trader pricing aligns with the district's suburban Democratic base and absence of recent shifts in fundraising or endorsements. A late high-profile GOP recruit, unexpected scandal, or broad national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$31,182 Обс.
$31,182 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$31,182 Обс.
$31,182 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,407 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$17,775 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes anchors the strong consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, backed by an eight-term record, over $2.3 million in cash on hand, and the seat's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent 59-62% margins in recent cycles. No competitive Republican has filed ahead of the June 9 deadline, leaving only minor primary contenders and independents for the November 3 general election. With primaries set for August 11, trader pricing aligns with the district's suburban Democratic base and absence of recent shifts in fundraising or endorsements. A late high-profile GOP recruit, unexpected scandal, or broad national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,182Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes anchors the strong consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, backed by an eight-term record, over $2.3 million in cash on hand, and the seat's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent 59-62% margins in recent cycles. No competitive Republican has filed ahead of the June 9 deadline, leaving only minor primary contenders and independents for the November 3 general election. With primaries set for August 11, trader pricing aligns with the district's suburban Democratic base and absence of recent shifts in fundraising or endorsements. A late high-profile GOP recruit, unexpected scandal, or broad national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,182Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes anchors the strong consensus for a Democratic hold in Connecticut's 4th congressional district, backed by an eight-term record, over $2.3 million in cash on hand, and the seat's D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has produced consistent 59-62% margins in recent cycles. No competitive Republican has filed ahead of the June 9 deadline, leaving only minor primary contenders and independents for the November 3 general election. With primaries set for August 11, trader pricing aligns with the district's suburban Democratic base and absence of recent shifts in fundraising or endorsements. A late high-profile GOP recruit, unexpected scandal, or broad national Republican wave could still narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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