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Вибори·Республіканська початкова

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Вибори·Республіканська початкова

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 85%

Dan Bilzerian 8.8%

Aaron Baker 5.4%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$149,593 Обс.

Randy Fine 85%

Dan Bilzerian 8.8%

Aaron Baker 5.4%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$149,593 Обс.

Randy Fine

$15,904 Обс.

85%

Dan Bilzerian

$48,509 Обс.

9%

Aaron Baker

$15,822 Обс.

5%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$27,835 Обс.

<1%

Joshua Vasquez

$10,983 Обс.

<1%

Charles Gambaro

$11,392 Обс.

<1%

Ernest Audino

$19,148 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Randy Fine holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 6th Congressional District, as traders assign him an 84.5 percent probability of victory. His position stems from strong fundraising totals exceeding those of all challengers combined, endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, and his record following a 2025 special election victory. Dan Bilzerian’s 8.8 percent share reflects name recognition from his public profile, while Aaron Baker’s 5.5 percent tracks limited local backing. The remaining candidates each sit near 0.1 percent amid minimal reported support or resources. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary-day turnout will determine whether any challenger narrows the gap before August.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$149,593
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Randy Fine holds a commanding lead in the August 18 Republican primary for Florida’s 6th Congressional District, as traders assign him an 84.5 percent probability of victory. His position stems from strong fundraising totals exceeding those of all challengers combined, endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, and his record following a 2025 special election victory. Dan Bilzerian’s 8.8 percent share reflects name recognition from his public profile, while Aaron Baker’s 5.5 percent tracks limited local backing. The remaining candidates each sit near 0.1 percent amid minimal reported support or resources. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary-day turnout will determine whether any challenger narrows the gap before August.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$149,593
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-06 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Randy Fine» з 85%, далі «Dan Bilzerian» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-06 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $149.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 13, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-06 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-06 Republican Primary Winner» — «Randy Fine» з 85%. Наступний — «Dan Bilzerian» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-06 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.