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Політика·Первинні

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

icon for TX-30 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

Everett Jackson 83.0%

Sholdon Daniels 15%

Gregor Heise 5.3%

Nils Walker <1%

Polymarket

$23,953 Обс.

Everett Jackson 83.0%

Sholdon Daniels 15%

Gregor Heise 5.3%

Nils Walker <1%

Polymarket

$23,953 Обс.

Everett Jackson

$2,566 Обс.

83%

Sholdon Daniels

$9,566 Обс.

15%

Gregor Heise

$10,509 Обс.

5%

Nils Walker

$1,312 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's dominant performance in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District—securing a roughly 10-point lead over Sholdon Daniels without reaching a majority—has solidified trader consensus at 83% implied probability for him to win the May 26 runoff, reflecting sustained grassroots momentum in this Dallas-area contest. Daniels, a criminal defense attorney and veteran holding 14.5%, benefits from a substantial fundraising edge (over 20-to-1 as of late March) but struggles to close the gap amid low expected runoff turnout favoring Jackson's local activist base. Eliminated candidates Gregor Heise (8.3%) and Nils Walker (0.1%) retain minor odds amid speculation on write-ins or procedural anomalies, with early voting starting May 20 as the next key catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$23,953
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's dominant performance in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District—securing a roughly 10-point lead over Sholdon Daniels without reaching a majority—has solidified trader consensus at 83% implied probability for him to win the May 26 runoff, reflecting sustained grassroots momentum in this Dallas-area contest. Daniels, a criminal defense attorney and veteran holding 14.5%, benefits from a substantial fundraising edge (over 20-to-1 as of late March) but struggles to close the gap amid low expected runoff turnout favoring Jackson's local activist base. Eliminated candidates Gregor Heise (8.3%) and Nils Walker (0.1%) retain minor odds amid speculation on write-ins or procedural anomalies, with early voting starting May 20 as the next key catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$23,953
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«TX-30 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Everett Jackson» з 83%, далі «Sholdon Daniels» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «TX-30 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $24K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 18, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «TX-30 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «TX-30 Republican Primary Winner» — «Everett Jackson» з 83%. Наступний — «Sholdon Daniels» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «TX-30 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.