Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High, combined with KMA heat warnings for southeastern Korea, underpin trader focus on 33–35°C outcomes for Busan’s August 4 maximum. Recent confirmation of a 39°C reading on August 1 highlights the ridge’s strength and clear skies favoring intense daytime heating, though model consensus for August 4 shows modest moderation from increased cloud cover or light winds near the coast. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet persistent tropical air and low precipitation probability sustain elevated odds for the upper end of the range. KMA short-range updates and any typhoon Dolphin track shifts remain key near-term variables that could refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on August 4?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 4?
34°C 33%
35°C 28%
36°C 18%
33°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
31°C or below
8%
32°C
10%
33°C
14%
34°C
33%
35°C
28%
36°C
18%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
35°C 28%
36°C 18%
33°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
31°C or below
$14 Обс.
8%
32°C
$9 Обс.
10%
33°C
$3 Обс.
14%
34°C
$0 Обс.
33%
35°C
$0 Обс.
28%
36°C
$68 Обс.
18%
37°C
$1 Обс.
6%
38°C
$10 Обс.
4%
39°C
$10 Обс.
2%
40°C
$32 Обс.
<1%
41°C or higher
$353 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High, combined with KMA heat warnings for southeastern Korea, underpin trader focus on 33–35°C outcomes for Busan’s August 4 maximum. Recent confirmation of a 39°C reading on August 1 highlights the ridge’s strength and clear skies favoring intense daytime heating, though model consensus for August 4 shows modest moderation from increased cloud cover or light winds near the coast. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet persistent tropical air and low precipitation probability sustain elevated odds for the upper end of the range. KMA short-range updates and any typhoon Dolphin track shifts remain key near-term variables that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$500Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High, combined with KMA heat warnings for southeastern Korea, underpin trader focus on 33–35°C outcomes for Busan’s August 4 maximum. Recent confirmation of a 39°C reading on August 1 highlights the ridge’s strength and clear skies favoring intense daytime heating, though model consensus for August 4 shows modest moderation from increased cloud cover or light winds near the coast. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet persistent tropical air and low precipitation probability sustain elevated odds for the upper end of the range. KMA short-range updates and any typhoon Dolphin track shifts remain key near-term variables that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$500Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High, combined with KMA heat warnings for southeastern Korea, underpin trader focus on 33–35°C outcomes for Busan’s August 4 maximum. Recent confirmation of a 39°C reading on August 1 highlights the ridge’s strength and clear skies favoring intense daytime heating, though model consensus for August 4 shows modest moderation from increased cloud cover or light winds near the coast. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, yet persistent tropical air and low precipitation probability sustain elevated odds for the upper end of the range. KMA short-range updates and any typhoon Dolphin track shifts remain key near-term variables that could refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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