Seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology, projecting above-normal summer temperatures across the kingdom, form the main driver behind traders assigning 36.5% implied probability to a 40°C or higher maximum in Jeddah on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily highs near 38°C with frequent peaks to 40–43°C, amplified this year by persistent heat and low rainfall signals. Recent model guidance clusters around 36–38°C but incorporates uncertainty from Red Sea humidity, variable winds, and potential dust events that can suppress or enhance readings. Short-term forecast updates from global and regional ensembles, plus official monitoring over the next 48 hours, will likely tighten these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 4?
40°C or higher 35%
38°C 24%
39°C 22%
37°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
11%
37°C
20%
38°C
24%
39°C
22%
40°C or higher
35%
40°C or higher 35%
38°C 24%
39°C 22%
37°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$20 Обс.
2%
36°C
$0 Обс.
11%
37°C
$21 Обс.
20%
38°C
$0 Обс.
24%
39°C
$0 Обс.
22%
40°C or higher
$11 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology, projecting above-normal summer temperatures across the kingdom, form the main driver behind traders assigning 36.5% implied probability to a 40°C or higher maximum in Jeddah on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily highs near 38°C with frequent peaks to 40–43°C, amplified this year by persistent heat and low rainfall signals. Recent model guidance clusters around 36–38°C but incorporates uncertainty from Red Sea humidity, variable winds, and potential dust events that can suppress or enhance readings. Short-term forecast updates from global and regional ensembles, plus official monitoring over the next 48 hours, will likely tighten these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$72Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology, projecting above-normal summer temperatures across the kingdom, form the main driver behind traders assigning 36.5% implied probability to a 40°C or higher maximum in Jeddah on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily highs near 38°C with frequent peaks to 40–43°C, amplified this year by persistent heat and low rainfall signals. Recent model guidance clusters around 36–38°C but incorporates uncertainty from Red Sea humidity, variable winds, and potential dust events that can suppress or enhance readings. Short-term forecast updates from global and regional ensembles, plus official monitoring over the next 48 hours, will likely tighten these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$72Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology, projecting above-normal summer temperatures across the kingdom, form the main driver behind traders assigning 36.5% implied probability to a 40°C or higher maximum in Jeddah on August 4. Historical August climatology shows average daily highs near 38°C with frequent peaks to 40–43°C, amplified this year by persistent heat and low rainfall signals. Recent model guidance clusters around 36–38°C but incorporates uncertainty from Red Sea humidity, variable winds, and potential dust events that can suppress or enhance readings. Short-term forecast updates from global and regional ensembles, plus official monitoring over the next 48 hours, will likely tighten these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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