Warmer-than-normal seasonal conditions across Saudi Arabia through October, per the National Center for Meteorology outlook, form the main driver behind elevated trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 3 high. August climatology shows average daily maxima near 38–40°C, with coastal Red Sea influences and high solar insolation sustaining heat; the NCM projects 1–2°C above baseline, raising the chance of readings at or above 41°C. Recent model guidance and historical August peaks reinforce this, though short-term variability in wind patterns or localized sea breezes could moderate extremes. Market-implied odds, led by the 41°C+ outcome at 49%, reflect traders’ assessment of these factors two days ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 3?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 3?
41°C or higher 49%
40°C 25%
39°C 13%
38°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
2%
38°C
7%
39°C
13%
40°C
25%
41°C or higher
49%
41°C or higher 49%
40°C 25%
39°C 13%
38°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
31°C or below
$351 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$381 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$381 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$104 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$366 Обс.
<1%
37°C
$614 Обс.
2%
38°C
$247 Обс.
7%
39°C
$248 Обс.
13%
40°C
$161 Обс.
25%
41°C or higher
$82 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warmer-than-normal seasonal conditions across Saudi Arabia through October, per the National Center for Meteorology outlook, form the main driver behind elevated trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 3 high. August climatology shows average daily maxima near 38–40°C, with coastal Red Sea influences and high solar insolation sustaining heat; the NCM projects 1–2°C above baseline, raising the chance of readings at or above 41°C. Recent model guidance and historical August peaks reinforce this, though short-term variability in wind patterns or localized sea breezes could moderate extremes. Market-implied odds, led by the 41°C+ outcome at 49%, reflect traders’ assessment of these factors two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,953Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warmer-than-normal seasonal conditions across Saudi Arabia through October, per the National Center for Meteorology outlook, form the main driver behind elevated trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 3 high. August climatology shows average daily maxima near 38–40°C, with coastal Red Sea influences and high solar insolation sustaining heat; the NCM projects 1–2°C above baseline, raising the chance of readings at or above 41°C. Recent model guidance and historical August peaks reinforce this, though short-term variability in wind patterns or localized sea breezes could moderate extremes. Market-implied odds, led by the 41°C+ outcome at 49%, reflect traders’ assessment of these factors two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,953Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warmer-than-normal seasonal conditions across Saudi Arabia through October, per the National Center for Meteorology outlook, form the main driver behind elevated trader expectations for Jeddah’s August 3 high. August climatology shows average daily maxima near 38–40°C, with coastal Red Sea influences and high solar insolation sustaining heat; the NCM projects 1–2°C above baseline, raising the chance of readings at or above 41°C. Recent model guidance and historical August peaks reinforce this, though short-term variability in wind patterns or localized sea breezes could moderate extremes. Market-implied odds, led by the 41°C+ outcome at 49%, reflect traders’ assessment of these factors two days ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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