Recent short-range forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns show Chengdu under persistent subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting surface highs near 32–33°C on August 3. High humidity and urban heat-island effects from the Sichuan Basin amplify daytime warming, while scattered showers expected that afternoon introduce the main uncertainty—any earlier or heavier precipitation could cap the peak near 31°C, whereas delayed or lighter rain would allow readings to reach 34°C. Historical August climatology places typical maxima at 30–34°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market’s tight distribution between the 32°C and 33°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 3?
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
29%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 31%
32°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
29%
33°C
31%
34°C
11%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns show Chengdu under persistent subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting surface highs near 32–33°C on August 3. High humidity and urban heat-island effects from the Sichuan Basin amplify daytime warming, while scattered showers expected that afternoon introduce the main uncertainty—any earlier or heavier precipitation could cap the peak near 31°C, whereas delayed or lighter rain would allow readings to reach 34°C. Historical August climatology places typical maxima at 30–34°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market’s tight distribution between the 32°C and 33°C outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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