Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate showers and persistent cloud cover over the South China Sea trough will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 25°C on August 3. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability at that level, as humid southeasterly flow and frequent precipitation keep readings close to seasonal August averages of 26–27°C while suppressing extremes. Traders weigh these near-term dynamics against the longer-term outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, with any timing shifts in rain or breaks in cloud cover potentially allowing cooler readings toward 24°C or warmer stabilization near 26°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution around official daily minimum criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 3?
25°C 52%
26°C 36%
24°C 20%
27°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
20%
25°C
52%
26°C
22%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 52%
26°C 36%
24°C 20%
27°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
21°C or below
$74 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$40 Обс.
8%
23°C
$21 Обс.
8%
24°C
$0 Обс.
20%
25°C
$517 Обс.
52%
26°C
$14 Обс.
22%
27°C
$30 Обс.
13%
28°C
$285 Обс.
7%
29°C
$47 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$32 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate showers and persistent cloud cover over the South China Sea trough will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 25°C on August 3. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability at that level, as humid southeasterly flow and frequent precipitation keep readings close to seasonal August averages of 26–27°C while suppressing extremes. Traders weigh these near-term dynamics against the longer-term outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, with any timing shifts in rain or breaks in cloud cover potentially allowing cooler readings toward 24°C or warmer stabilization near 26°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution around official daily minimum criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,060Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate showers and persistent cloud cover over the South China Sea trough will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 25°C on August 3. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability at that level, as humid southeasterly flow and frequent precipitation keep readings close to seasonal August averages of 26–27°C while suppressing extremes. Traders weigh these near-term dynamics against the longer-term outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, with any timing shifts in rain or breaks in cloud cover potentially allowing cooler readings toward 24°C or warmer stabilization near 26°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution around official daily minimum criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,060Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate showers and persistent cloud cover over the South China Sea trough will limit nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning the overnight minimum near 25°C on August 3. This aligns with the market's strongest implied probability at that level, as humid southeasterly flow and frequent precipitation keep readings close to seasonal August averages of 26–27°C while suppressing extremes. Traders weigh these near-term dynamics against the longer-term outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, with any timing shifts in rain or breaks in cloud cover potentially allowing cooler readings toward 24°C or warmer stabilization near 26°C. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine resolution around official daily minimum criteria.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання