Recent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's August 3 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because historical August maxima average near 31°C yet frequently dip lower when convective activity or thick cloud decks develop, as seen in recent weeks. Key differentiating factors include soil moisture levels, wind patterns, and the strength of the monsoon trough, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 3?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 3?
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
32%
30°C
23%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
2%
29°C 32%
28°C 25%
30°C 23%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
24°C or below
$286 Обс.
1%
25°C
$302 Обс.
1%
26°C
$69 Обс.
3%
27°C
$92 Обс.
7%
28°C
$137 Обс.
25%
29°C
$0 Обс.
32%
30°C
$13 Обс.
23%
31°C
$0 Обс.
12%
32°C
$91 Обс.
2%
33°C
$34 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$21 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's August 3 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because historical August maxima average near 31°C yet frequently dip lower when convective activity or thick cloud decks develop, as seen in recent weeks. Key differentiating factors include soil moisture levels, wind patterns, and the strength of the monsoon trough, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,044Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's August 3 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because historical August maxima average near 31°C yet frequently dip lower when convective activity or thick cloud decks develop, as seen in recent weeks. Key differentiating factors include soil moisture levels, wind patterns, and the strength of the monsoon trough, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,044Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from PAGASA and international agencies indicate Manila's August 3 high will likely fall in the 28–30°C range amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered cloud cover and showers limiting daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around these values because historical August maxima average near 31°C yet frequently dip lower when convective activity or thick cloud decks develop, as seen in recent weeks. Key differentiating factors include soil moisture levels, wind patterns, and the strength of the monsoon trough, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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