Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 3?
26°C 49%
25°C 26%
27°C 24%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
26%
26°C
49%
27°C
24%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
25°C 26%
27°C 24%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
22°C or below
$139 Обс.
2%
23°C
$33 Обс.
3%
24°C
$72 Обс.
5%
25°C
$23 Обс.
26%
26°C
$330 Обс.
49%
27°C
$45 Обс.
24%
28°C
$33 Обс.
11%
29°C
$285 Обс.
3%
30°C
$32 Обс.
1%
31°C
$42 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$129 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,164Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,164Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate typical midsummer conditions for Seoul-Incheon, with overnight lows most likely settling near 26°C on August 3 due to persistent high humidity, weak nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and warm advection from the south. Ensemble spreads of 1–2°C support the market’s leading 44.5% implied probability on 26°C, followed by 27°C at 23.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, yet recent model runs show limited cooling potential through the period, keeping sub-25°C outcomes below 10% combined. Updated short-range guidance and KMA morning low observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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