Recent meteorological guidance for eastern China shows Shanghai under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with surface temperatures expected to peak near 34–35°C on August 4 amid high humidity and light winds that limit cooling. Current observations from early August already register daily maxima of 37–38°C, but ensemble forecasts indicate modest moderation from increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers, keeping the most likely outcomes tightly clustered around the 34°C and 35°C thresholds. Model spread remains modest this close to the date, yet small shifts in the timing of any frontal passage or moisture advection could easily tip the daily high between those two values, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
33%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 38%
35°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$12 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$104 Обс.
2%
31°C
$61 Обс.
2%
32°C
$197 Обс.
4%
33°C
$204 Обс.
18%
34°C
$113 Обс.
38%
35°C
$391 Обс.
33%
36°C
$33 Обс.
10%
37°C
$35 Обс.
3%
38°C
$125 Обс.
5%
39°C or higher
$15 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for eastern China shows Shanghai under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with surface temperatures expected to peak near 34–35°C on August 4 amid high humidity and light winds that limit cooling. Current observations from early August already register daily maxima of 37–38°C, but ensemble forecasts indicate modest moderation from increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers, keeping the most likely outcomes tightly clustered around the 34°C and 35°C thresholds. Model spread remains modest this close to the date, yet small shifts in the timing of any frontal passage or moisture advection could easily tip the daily high between those two values, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,291Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance for eastern China shows Shanghai under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with surface temperatures expected to peak near 34–35°C on August 4 amid high humidity and light winds that limit cooling. Current observations from early August already register daily maxima of 37–38°C, but ensemble forecasts indicate modest moderation from increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers, keeping the most likely outcomes tightly clustered around the 34°C and 35°C thresholds. Model spread remains modest this close to the date, yet small shifts in the timing of any frontal passage or moisture advection could easily tip the daily high between those two values, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,291Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance for eastern China shows Shanghai under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with surface temperatures expected to peak near 34–35°C on August 4 amid high humidity and light winds that limit cooling. Current observations from early August already register daily maxima of 37–38°C, but ensemble forecasts indicate modest moderation from increased cloud cover and possible scattered showers, keeping the most likely outcomes tightly clustered around the 34°C and 35°C thresholds. Model spread remains modest this close to the date, yet small shifts in the timing of any frontal passage or moisture advection could easily tip the daily high between those two values, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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