Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight scattered showers and increasing cloud cover tied to South China's early flood season, with above-average rainfall expected to moderate peak daytime heating on June 13. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs near 30–33°C under humid subtropical conditions, where precipitation and reduced insolation limit extreme warming while historical June averages hover around 31°C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in short-range model guidance on exact rainfall timing and intensity, with any clearer skies potentially pushing readings higher and persistent monsoon moisture favoring the lower end of that range. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 13?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 13?
33°C 33%
32°C 29%
34°C 18%
31°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
16%
32°C
29%
33°C
30%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 33%
32°C 29%
34°C 18%
31°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 13, 2026
26°C or below
$132 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$30 Обс.
1%
29°C
$215 Обс.
4%
30°C
$0 Обс.
10%
31°C
$0 Обс.
16%
32°C
$36 Обс.
29%
33°C
$30 Обс.
30%
34°C
$47 Обс.
18%
35°C
$7 Обс.
4%
36°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight scattered showers and increasing cloud cover tied to South China's early flood season, with above-average rainfall expected to moderate peak daytime heating on June 13. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs near 30–33°C under humid subtropical conditions, where precipitation and reduced insolation limit extreme warming while historical June averages hover around 31°C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in short-range model guidance on exact rainfall timing and intensity, with any clearer skies potentially pushing readings higher and persistent monsoon moisture favoring the lower end of that range. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$486Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight scattered showers and increasing cloud cover tied to South China's early flood season, with above-average rainfall expected to moderate peak daytime heating on June 13. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs near 30–33°C under humid subtropical conditions, where precipitation and reduced insolation limit extreme warming while historical June averages hover around 31°C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in short-range model guidance on exact rainfall timing and intensity, with any clearer skies potentially pushing readings higher and persistent monsoon moisture favoring the lower end of that range. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$486Дата завершення
Jun 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 12:10 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight scattered showers and increasing cloud cover tied to South China's early flood season, with above-average rainfall expected to moderate peak daytime heating on June 13. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs near 30–33°C under humid subtropical conditions, where precipitation and reduced insolation limit extreme warming while historical June averages hover around 31°C. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 32°C and 33°C reflect ongoing uncertainty in short-range model guidance on exact rainfall timing and intensity, with any clearer skies potentially pushing readings higher and persistent monsoon moisture favoring the lower end of that range. Updated CMA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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