National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies and a high near 96°F in Houston on August 15 under intensifying high pressure that has suppressed cloud cover and rainfall. This aligns with the market's strong 66% implied probability for 96-97°F, consistent with seasonal norms where average August highs reach 95°F amid typical Gulf moisture and light southerly flow. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal deviation risk, with heat indices climbing above 104°F but actual air temperatures unlikely to exceed 97°F absent unexpected mixing or advection changes. Traders are weighting official observations at Hobby Airport heavily, as any late-day shift would require rapid atmospheric adjustments not currently indicated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 15?
96-97°F 70%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 7%
100-101°F <1%
$20,060 Обс.
$20,060 Обс.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
66%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 70%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 7%
100-101°F <1%
$20,060 Обс.
$20,060 Обс.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
66%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts call for sunny skies and a high near 96°F in Houston on August 15 under intensifying high pressure that has suppressed cloud cover and rainfall. This aligns with the market's strong 66% implied probability for 96-97°F, consistent with seasonal norms where average August highs reach 95°F amid typical Gulf moisture and light southerly flow. Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal deviation risk, with heat indices climbing above 104°F but actual air temperatures unlikely to exceed 97°F absent unexpected mixing or advection changes. Traders are weighting official observations at Hobby Airport heavily, as any late-day shift would require rapid atmospheric adjustments not currently indicated.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання