Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 11?
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
19°C or below
$170 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$170 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$203 Обс.
1%
22°C
$180 Обс.
1%
23°C
$78 Обс.
4%
24°C
$399 Обс.
26%
25°C
$1,289 Обс.
48%
26°C
$159 Обс.
20%
27°C
$212 Обс.
3%
28°C
$196 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$252 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,307Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,307Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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